Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 10.506942 11.642333 12.862110 14.272142 15.859860 17.595385 19.640200
2025-09-14 8.604286 10.133322 11.892933 14.076424 16.725263 19.849648 23.836241
2025-09-21 7.175147 8.890148 10.980967 13.737067 17.303359 21.801245 27.965295
2025-09-28 6.194301 8.016797 10.352296 13.598396 18.046528 24.005645 32.724565
2025-10-05 5.648395 7.603641 10.225349 14.051077 19.580723 27.422574 39.638161
2025-10-12 5.192427 7.238160 10.094311 14.449317 21.057916 30.935674 47.253219
2025-10-19 4.726593 6.793003 9.782298 14.521515 22.033891 33.810512 54.343187
2025-10-26 4.286170 6.328573 9.377813 14.383940 22.638828 36.155215 60.926784
2025-11-02 3.899417 5.899433 8.971914 14.179668 23.084723 38.267522 67.428881
2025-11-09 3.560662 5.507730 8.578013 13.937157 23.415285 40.198710 73.896617
2025-11-16 3.280877 5.181104 8.251731 13.762008 23.824559 42.300772 81.024403
2025-11-23 3.054802 4.919820 8.004589 13.689179 24.395894 44.760626 89.280684
2025-11-30 2.908698 4.783732 7.963365 13.992757 25.736090 48.950921 102.122531
2025-12-07 2.710444 4.540705 7.713541 13.884988 26.271278 51.624590 112.215099
2025-12-14 2.506191 4.269430 7.387984 13.596699 26.407175 53.489722 120.841805
2025-12-21 2.347998 4.066645 7.167294 13.485122 26.886927 56.158413 131.966815
2025-12-28 2.279391 4.020782 7.232525 13.948382 28.645221 61.952827 152.311239
2026-01-04 2.207729 3.962546 7.267628 14.351926 30.326962 67.852269 174.392627
2026-01-11 2.103867 3.834248 7.154180 14.428428 31.276973 72.150905 193.098562
2026-01-18 1.986067 3.669568 6.953846 14.294545 31.716479 75.248659 209.084223
2026-01-25 1.871309 3.502150 6.733760 14.093196 31.966888 77.901412 224.404214
2026-02-01 1.762211 3.338054 6.507063 13.853176 32.090776 80.241179 239.360187
2026-02-08 1.667925 3.197241 6.317736 13.679673 32.360514 83.030163 256.581589